A few folks have said to me along the way that they would like to polish up on their surf forecasting skills. Tonight it is on my mind as the Missus wanted to know why I was cussing at the synoptic chart on the TV weather forecast. I'm usually pretty calm - and funnily enough I knew exactly what it would show (having looked at every reference I know 4 times a day for the last week just in case I found something i missed b4) - but nearing the end (I bloody hope) of an incredibly flat flatspell, the frustration levels are through the the roof, and seeing a really majorly large High pressure cell with really spread out isobar lines (yet again) dominating off the Sydney coastline - enough was enough.
So at the end of my frustration, the best I can do is create a thread where the newer fellas to the ocean can throw some questions out and perhaps learn a little about the 'art' of surf forecasting - I've called it 'art' cos it is really a science, but there are so many variables compromising the exactitude of forecasting that IMO it is good to keep in the back of yer mind that it is an art - for me that reduces the chances of me going absolutley mental when all the info and charts say one thing, but when ya turn up , another thing is happening.... anyone been there done that?!? haha
I haven't spoken to the lads about this, well in passing, but not about attending to this thread, but a few likely fellas to give a reliable hand here are dudes like Southern Rewards, Ralphy and Brad - I know these buggers are always soaking up all the weird sh#t you have to in order to get a vibe on what is happening on the ocean. Never mind a lot of the 'lurkers' here who don't say much but drop in and check the place out a fair bit. If you quieter boogers with genuine knowledge and understanding of isobars, groundswell, fetch, continental shelves, Wave Analysis Models, Seasonal effects, Periods, Buoy readings etc etc could step out and chip in, that would be mega.
My local has some crew that tow for stand-ups like Ross Clarke-Jones and so on. A little while ago I got word they were off early the next morning for Shippies pumping 11m plus for a film gig for RCJ and a couple other solid riders - this means fueling up all sorts of cars and craft, a long drive organising film crews, accommodation and the big name riders involved and a bunch of other stuff that adds up to a lot of time and dollars. You are putting your balls on the line if you are the one calling the swell on a gig like this. Funny thing is, everyone confers and agrees, cos they can all read the buoys and charts.
So here is the thing - one of the things for boogers gaining respect amongst the surf crew is about familiarity and linguistic skill in chatting about the factors that influence the swells we are riding or going to ride.... it's too easy these days to just look up a surf forecast and rely on that. Personally I hate relying on other people for stuff - but that is just me - independent F#cker.
The main thing to remember here is that NO QUESTION IS TOO DUMB. If you miss or are uncertain of a basic principle it can make an already complex subject even more complicated. Remember there is massive computer modeling on this stuff that still gets massive inconsistencies... so ask away... and please be patient in waiting for replies, there are some pretty big pools of knowledge hanging around the place and it is well worth waiting to hear what they have to say - ya never know what you might find out....
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